![]() I think the over 5.5 becomes the play with two of the league’s worst goaltenders facing each other. If Greiss and Saros are the goaltenders, we’ve got a bet that won’t be particularly comfortable. This is especially the case should Saros be between the pipes for Nashville. Simply put, if Bernier plays for the Red Wings, they’re a viable bet at the expected moneyline price of +130 (or better). Like just about every other matchup in the NHL this season, this bet is going to come down to who we see starting in goal for each team, because for both teams, it matters. Greiss was last seen three games ago, giving up four goals on nine shots and getting the quick hook against the Florida Panthers. Bernier’s 0.72 goals saved above average (GSAA), while quite literally right around average, is much better than Greiss’s -5.17 GSAA. 1 netminder, and didn’t expect journeyman Johnathan Bernier to be the better of the two. The team acquired Thomas Greiss to be its No. Who plays goal for the Red Wings seems to matter a fair amount as well, but not for the reason Detroit had hoped before the season started. The game was scoreless after two periods, and despite being outplayed, the Red Wings had every opportunity to steal one. This level of offensive creation naturally led to lopsided power-play opportunities in favor of the Preds. The Wings allowed the Predators to create 12 high-danger chances at even-strength, which is tied for a season-high against. That’s how they’ve garnered a relatively decent rating of just 3% below average at even-strength according to my model.ĭetroit did a poor job of doing anything it was trying to do on Tuesday. They know their best chance to win is to play a defensively responsible, tight-checking game. They’re not a team that can trade chances with more talented teams, which unfortunately for them is pretty much all of the teams. I can’t imagine Rinne playing all three of these games at his advanced age, so it makes sense to play Saros against the lowly Red Wings.īetMGM Tennessee Offer: Get $600 FREE to Bet the Predators Read now Detroit Red Wings If Saros doesn’t play on Thursday, that means he’ll be going at least 10 days between action. Given that the Preds and Blue Jackets look to be battling for the same playoff spot in the Central Division, these two games are critical. While we don’t know this for sure, I’d expect Juuse Saros to get the call in the rematch on Thursday. However, despite the veteran’s turn-back-the-clock performances, he’s still 38-years-old and could probably use a night off. If they get the goaltending from Pekka Rinne that they’ve received in the last two outings, they may not need that many chances in order to win the game. Can they do it a third time in a row? Will they even need to? The Predators had won back-to-back just twice and in each case the result in one of the two victories could’ve been considered lucky.Īfter putting in a top-to-bottom performance at Columbus on Saturday, where they out-chanced the Blue Jackets 13-3 in high-danger areas at even-strength, the Preds nearly matched those numbers, going 12-4 against Detroit. Well, “ they say we’re young and we don’t know, we won’t find out until we grow” … or more likely, we’ll find out Thursday night if the Red Wings can get the win as a home underdog.Įntering Tuesday, Nashville hadn’t put together two really good games in a row all season. While I have thankfully not been waking up to any Sonny and Cher duets, writing about how the Nashville Predators are a very fade-able favorite, or how the Detroit Red Wings are a very backable underdog, feels … familiar. However, as we get into the middle third of the season, it’s hard not to feel like Bill Murray in Groundhog Day. So don’t get me wrong, this is not a complaint necessarily. This new and theoretically one-time-only NHL season that has teams playing solely in their own division is fun. Odds as of Wednesday night and via PointsBet.
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